Could the Corona Virus really kill 120 million people globally?
As we move toward the end of the first week of the global Chinese Wuhan novel coronavirus (2019-nCov) outbreak, with the 2 cases in the United States, 1497 cases have been identified worldwide and 42 deaths have occurred as of evening 25 January 2020. What we can surmise, is a critical number, in epidemiology; a case fatality rate (CFR) – or case fatality risk – is the proportion of deaths within a designated population of “cases” (people with a medical condition, e.g. viral infection) over the course of the disease. The CFR for the 2019-nCov is 2.80%. That is staggering, as the seasonal influenza CFR estimates are at around 1 to 10 deaths per 100,000 infections identified in our review, which is a mere 0.005%. This math is unreal, you are 560 times more times likely to die from the 2019-nCov than the flu; that means hundreds of millions could die from this epidemic. If half the world becomes infected, 120 million people will die. Obviously, the fatality...